Seeds of Civil War Germinating in Lebanon 1

Two asshole Muslim leaders lead the non-existent Lebanese state. As the Israeli bombs were threatening their ill-gotten possessions and corrupt positions, the two modern-day Frank and Jesse James, one Najib Mikati and one Nabih Berri, and the Master Druze Chameleon Walid Jumblatt, got together and announced their surrender by declaring they want resolution 1701 fully implemented, something they refused to do for nearly 20 years.

But the Iranian turbaned regional Hannibal Lecter dispatched his foreign minister who scolded the rebellious idiots back to order. No surrender means no end to the war.

Fortunately and unfortunately, there is no Christian leader at the helm. Fortunately, because the last time the Lebanese Muslims fucked up circa 1982, a promising Christian president by the name of Bashir Gemayel was elected to clean up their mess, but he was quickly assassinated because "he was elected from atop an Israeli tank".

Israel is no angel. In fact, Israel is the Dark Lord himself. Even though Netanyahu has said he is not at war with the Lebanese people, he has been killing Lebanese people who happen to be Shiite civilians. But he recently began issuing threats to Christian villages in the south that not only do not harbor Hezbollah elements, but they hate Hezbollah. Why? I'll let you draw your conclusions.

Displaced migrants from war zones are mostly Shiite Muslims. Christians are ambivalent, torn between charity and national solidarity on one hand, and fear of the Hezbollah criminals who have been assassinating anyone who disagrees with the Iranian occupation of the country and plunging the country for the umpteenth time into a war that cannot be won.

For example, Hezbollah invaded the Christian neighborhoods of Tayouneh and Ayn Remmaneh in 2021 and a street battle erupted with many killed. [See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Beirut_clashes]

Hezbollah has completely hijacked the state, destroyed its institutions, engaged in drug manufacturing and export, caused the Beirut Port explosion and prevented the appointed Special Counsel from completing his investigation into the blast. This is but a sample of the Shiite rule over Lebanon.

I can go on and on.... Hezbollah's criminality is long-standing (beginning in 1981 and peaking with the truck-bombing murder of 241 US marines in Beirut in October 1983) but remained an underground organization operating outside the purview of the state. After assassinating Prime Minister Rafik Hariri in 2005 at the behest of the Damascus butcher Bashar Assad, Hezbollah embarked on a another phase of its project. It mutated into a political party, won seats on parliament and had ministers in several Lebanese cabinets. Right now, it has completed its dismantling of the state by preventing parliament from electing a president since October 2022. There is no Maronite president at the helm, as required by the constitution, but there is a Sunni Muslim - the corrupt billionnaire Najib Mikati- leading a caretaker government with no constitutional authority, and there is a non-functioning parliament whose own speaker is the Shiite Muslim Nabih Berri, an ally of Hezbollah, who refuses to open parliament for MPs to elect a president.

The sum total of all of this is that while the Christians, particularly the Maronites, built the country into a prosperous, open, liberal country between 1920 and 1975, the Sunni Muslims hired the Palestinian PLO to destroy the country in a spiteful response to the success of the Maronites. Thanks to Arab and oily-Arab-ass-licking American perfidy, the Sunnis won the war of 1975-1990 and assumed power with the glorified but illiterate and incompetent Sunni Prime Minister (Rafik Hariri) and a series of degraded Maronite puppet presidents, all under the boots of a US-backed Syrian Stalinist army of occupation.

The Sunni phase (1990-2005) was a zenith of corruption and mismanaganement with help from the Arabs, as well as the Americans who invested in the Sunnis to please the Arabs and repeatedly backstabbed their natural ally, the Christians. To keep the Christians from challenging the new order, the US ecouraged Hariri to let Hezbollah retain its weapons (while all other militias surrendered theirs per the US-sponsored Taef Agreement) as a way to quell any Christian will to power. Hezbollah waged wars, increased its arsenal over the years, and ultimately in 2005 assassinated the idiot Hariri who realized he could not go too far with Hezbollah's missiles up his ass and the Syrian boots on his neck. He turned to the Americans but it was too late.

The third - "Shiite" - phase thus began in earnest in 2005 with Hezbollah fielding candidates for MPs and entering government and waging the stupid July 2006 war against Israel. Since then, Hezbollah has essentially rampaged and pillaged the country, threatening everyone - both Chrtistians and Sunnis - with its weapons, its many assassination campaigns against dissidents, its armed takeovers and incursions (May 2008; October 2021). The war of support to Gaza was launched by Hezbollah against Israel on October 8, 2023 and its devastating consequences have mushroomed in the past 3-4 weeks with Israel's replication of its Gaza genocide "most moral" methods in Lebanon.

Which brings us back to our main topic. The ongoing Hezbollah-Israel war has displaced all the Shiite Muslims (all lovers of Hezbollah) out of their villages and neighborhoods. Where can they go? To the Christian, Sunni and Druze areas whose inhabitants the Shiites have long cursed and despised. There, they are being welcomed out of compassion, and offered food and shelter. BUT, and that is a BIG BUT: How does a Christian homeowner who opened his home to a Shiite family know whether that family harbors a Hezbollah operative? Could they have brought weapons with them? Could they be localized by Israel? Could the home become a target? Zionist terror is worse than Muslim terror.

Imagine what those initial fears and apprehensions could lead to. Clashes? Evictions of the sheltered refugees for the danger they may represent? Reprisals from armed Hezbollah operatives? All of this could rapidly descend into a civil war, which would not be to the chagrin of Israel. Only a few days ago, in a town in the Christian North-Matn district, a man parks his van in front of a bakery and asks for 100 bags of bread for refugees he said were sheltering in a school nearby. As they load the van with the bread, the bakery workers see a huge stash of machineguns. Why is this "refugee" armed? Is he a Hezbollah militiaman/refugee? Is he distributing the guns (and the bread) to his men now dispersed in this Christian area?

The AP story below barely touches the surface of the coming sectarian explosion. Particularly that the christians, being second after the Jews on the Muslim "hated-but-tolerated-aliens" list, will again be the scapegoats, the Zionist agents, the traitors to Palestine as they have always been slandered by the brave but fleeing-like-cowards Arab-Muslim nationalists.

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Fleeing Israeli bombs, Lebanon's displaced met with suspicion
Aya Iskandarani
Tue, October 8, 2024


Makeshift tents shelter displaced people along Beirut's seafront (Patrick BAZ) (Patrick BAZ/AFP/AFP)

Israel's bombardment of Hezbollah's south Beirut stronghold has forced tens of thousands to flee to the city centre, but many in sectarian Lebanon view the newcomers with suspicion, worried they too might become targets.

For weeks, Israeli strikes have widened in pursuit of Hezbollah members, leading many Lebanese to shun civilians from the same religious community as the Iran-backed group.

"Our neighbours found out we were housing people from Dahiyeh (Beirut's southern suburbs) and they panicked and started asking questions," said 30-year-old Christina, asking to be identified by only one name.

She took in displaced people but soon asked them to leave after neighbours, concerned the newcomers might be Hezbollah fighters, bombarded her with messages.

Hezbollah, the only side to retain its arsenal after the 1975-90 civil war, has strong support within Lebanon's Shiite Muslim community.

But Lebanon remains split over the group's decision to open a front against Israel in solidarity with Gaza and drag the country into war.

Lebanon's power-sharing system divides authority among 18 religious sects, with Shiites, Sunnis and Christians maintaining a fragile balance.

Many are still haunted by the civil war, which saw families displaced and homes seized, with the latest Israel-Hezbollah war reviving distrust and sectarianism in the divided country.

"There are growing tensions and suspicions towards displaced people because they are from the same religious group as Hezbollah," Christina said.

"Some people are scared that one of their family members might be a target and they don't want to risk" it, she told AFP.

- 'Bearded men' -

After nearly a year of cross-border clashes, Israel intensified its bombing campaign on September 23, killing more than 1,110 people, according to an AFP tally of official figures.

More than one million people, about a sixth of Lebanon's population, have been displaced, many flocking to Beirut which is now overwhelmed.

The influx has strained services in the crisis-hit country, with traffic congestion, disruptions to daily life and garbage piling up on the streets.

According to the education ministry, 973 public schools around the country have become makeshift shelters, with 773 of them unable to welcome any more displaced.

Panic gripped Souheir, a 58-year-old homemaker, after a displaced Shiite family moved into her building.

The women wore chadors, a full-body robe that is an unfamiliar sight in central Beirut.

"We've been seeing more women in chadors, bearded men and young men in black -- a sight we're not used to seeing," she added.

Souheir admitted she was not immune to the general paranoia.

When she went for coffee at a friend's, she saw bearded men on the balcony -- displaced relatives who sought refuge there.

She cut her visit short because she worried they could be Hezbollah members.

"People are looking at each other with suspicion on the streets," she said. "They're scared of each other."

Tensions are also high outside Beirut, where Israeli strikes have hit displaced people beyond Hezbollah's strongholds, including in the Druze village of Baadaran.

"People used to rent out houses to anyone at first, but now they're being extra-cautious," said Emad, 68, who lives in a Druze village about an hour away from Baadaran.

Elie, 30, who asked to be identified only by his first name, said no one in his Christian village had rented out to the displaced, who mostly live in shelters nearby.

"People are scared because we can't know if there are Hezbollah members among" them, he said.

"They also fear that the displaced could stay in the apartments permanently or semi-permanently since many of their houses were destroyed."

- Civil war memories -

Incidents of displaced people breaking into empty buildings in search of a place to sleep have revived memories of the civil war, when more than 150,000 people were killed and militias seized homes.

Last week, police said "a very small number" of displaced people broke into private properties and that they were "working to remove them".

Businessman Riad, 60, said his sister-in-law had been house-sitting their central Beirut apartment after repeated enquiries about rentals.

"We experienced this in the '70s and '80s. Even if you asked an acquaintance to live in your house," armed groups would seize the apartment anyway and give it to displaced families from their own community, he said.

"It took some people a decade before regaining their house... This is why people are panicking," he added.

"It happened once and it will happen again."

aya/ser/dv/srm/kir