Independents Have Already Deserted Trump. MAGA's Fate in Congress is Sealed

Simply put, American voters fall into three categories, regardless of age, gender, race...

Republican diehards, usually 40%.

Democrat diehards, usually 40%.

Independents, usually 20%.

As you can see, independents are the kingmakers. Yours truly always registered as an independent and voted republican at times and democrat at other times. I usually go by the character of the individual, and by no other criterion. I abhor party loyalty, ideological loyalty or personal cult loyalty. 

Last election, the Great Moron lied and lied and lied. He knew he was lying to lure dumb voters by promising them exactly what they wanted to hear, only to betray them once elected and go after his own personal (financial corruption) and ideological objectives (Project 2025). It worked because a majority of independent voters believed him. They judged him on his words, not his character which they knew was sourced in the gutters and sewers. 

Right now, all polls indicate that a vast majority of independents have turned against him, not to mention those outlier Democrats who were seduced by the criminal felon and who wouldn't repeat the mistake, as well as those Republicans who have now tired of the lies, the corruption, the racism, the narcissism, the vulgarity and the mismanagement of the country.

This simple calculation is compatible with Trump's current favorability down into the 30 percentile range. His MAGA minion candidates for Congress should obtain at best the 35% (not 40%) who will stick with him. Democrats on the other hand will retain the totality of their usual 40%, plus the 5% disgruntled dissatisfied Republicans who are de-MAGAfying, and 15% (not 20%) independents, totaling some 60% of voters.

Can't wait for the MAGA debacle in November. Of course, the criminal insurrectionist and convicted felon might try in despair to cheat, use Fascist methods to intimidate voters, claim fraud and other mafia tactics... We'll see. He is turning 80 next week and he is sinking further into dementia and old age.