Nothing but the truth. Even if against me.

Nothing but the truth. Even if against me.

Saturday, August 6, 2022

Possible Scenarios for War, Should it Break out

Chadi Hilaneh
Akhbar El-Yom
August 6, 2022
[Translated from Arabic as posted on https://www.mtv.com.lb/News/أي-سيناريوهات-للحرب-إذا-وقعت/1302544/محليات-]

The Israeli Occupation Forces launched a series of attacks yesterday Friday on military positions of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad movement in the Gaza Strip. A spokesman for the Israeli Occupation Army said that the new attack initiated by the Israeli Air Force was named “Operation Breaking Dawn”.

Meanwhile in Lebanon, the rising tensions in Gaza raise many questions as to whether Hezbollah will join the Palestinian factions in Gaza, particularly after it hailed the factions in responding to the attack and praising their role in confronting and resisting Israel's attacks.

In this context, and in a communication with the “Akhbar El-Yom Agency”, Hezbollah sources praised the steadfastness and resistance of the Palestinian resistance and its exploits in the field, and the immeasurable patience of the oppressed people of Gaza who stand with their Resistance in its choices and conditions. The sources reiterated the solidarity of Hezbollah and the Islamic Resistance with the Intifada and resistance of the Palestinian people, which is deeply rooted in their heart, their will, and their destiny, as well as their support for the Palestinian resistance's view of the situation and its just conditions to end the current confrontation.

Therefore, it is evident that all the available information indicates dangerous implications of the Israeli aggression, notably with the increasing threats by Israeli ministers who have threatened to destroy “Dahiyeh” [Hezbollah’s stronghold in the southern suburbs of Beirut] if Hezbollah targets the gas platforms in Karish field. Which suggests that accepting or rejecting Lebanon’s proposal [in the negotiations for delineating the maritime border between Israel and Lebanon] is a moot issue, and that the Israeli response will be negative in one form or another. This might prompt Hezbollah to undertake new measures, which in turn could lead to an execution of the Israeli threats in an attempt to dissuade Hezbollah and prevent it from escalating.

Sources close to the resistance movement in Lebanon have been quoted as saying that they endorse the use of force to confront Israeli arrogance. In other words, the people of the resistance welcome martyrdom, and “death in war in defense of our nation, our dignity and our resources is by far better than dying of hunger… We ask the Resistance to destroy Tel Aviv before Israel undertakes any sudden action to strike the proud Dahiyeh.

The head of the Al-Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, General Ismail Qaani, had disclosed on Saturday that “Hezbollah is planning to deal a final strike against the Zionist entity and eliminate it from existence at the appropriate time”.

There are three scenarios that could obtain in case of a war between Lebanon and Israel:

1- Bomb the Israeli gas extraction platforms in the eastern Mediterranean

2- Dispatch units of the “Frogmen” of the Special Radwan Company to strike Israeli beaches and ports and conduct commando martyrdom operations

3- Ignite a regional war in which all countries and entities affiliated with the resistance axis will participate against the Israeli occupation entity

More dangerous perhaps than all of this, according to fears expressed by security sources, is to engage the southern front by launching missiles against the Israeli north, as happens usually whenever hostilities erupt. Field sources in south Lebanon tell “Akhbar El-Yom” that the Lebanese Army has intensified its security measures in the area, in parallel with bringing in more reinforcements, including patrolling along the Blue Line and in the border towns, with the objective of preventing any security deterioration.

[Note from the translator: This piece is nothing more than Hezbollah propaganda destined to rally the  faithful, similar to what China is doing around Taiwan: Showing muscle but scared to death of actually attacking Taiwan. No one doubts that Europe is very keen to secure Israeli and Egyptian gas, given that the embargo on Russian gas promises a very cold winter in Europe. Any attack on Israeli gas platforms will likely unleash a massive response whose victim will be a destitute and impoverished Lebanese population].

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