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Friday, May 12, 2017

Aoun Excluded from Saudi Muslim Summit with Trump

Pro-Iran, pro-Hezbollah Lebanese President Michel Aoun was NOT invited to the Muslim-American summit to be held this May 20-21 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Instead, his Prime Minister Saad Hariri was invited to the summit which Donald Trump will be attending.

As the text below of the news report from Breitbart, Saad Hariri's name is not even mentioned, as is typically the case with countries like Lebanon that American news media d not consider significant, although Lebanon is an incubator of many of the headaches that the West and the US in particular face.

One possible reason behind not inviting Aoun is as follows:
- Trump is looking to make a deal with the Sunni Muslims(Arabs and otherwise, led by Saudi Arabia) in which he will overturn former President Obama overtures to Shiite Iran, and initiate a new rapprochement with the Sunnis aiming at isolating Iran and curbing its nefarious influence over every Shiite minority across the Middle East.
- However, whereas in the past the love affair between US Republicans and the Sunni Arabs was lubricated by lots of oil, this time around Trump has another trick in his bag to offer the Sunni Saudis: In exchange for beating up on Iran and protecting you from it, I want you Sunnis to force the Palestinians to accept a peace settlement with the Israelis.
- Which means that in Lebanon, Hezbollah stands to lose big time. As the war in Syria is beginning to fade into a partitioned Syria, Hezbollah is beginning a withdrawal from the Syrian-Lebanese border where it had been fighting alongside the Assad regime. Just today, Hezbollah relinquished several positions on the Anti-Lebanon mountain chain and handed them over to the Lebanese Army.
- This "re-positioning" by Hezbollah may be due to the ethnic demographic consolidations that have been taking place in Syria, whereby pockets of Shiite populations in largely Sunni areas have been transferred to Shiite areas, and vice-versa. The population in the area from which Hezbollah has withdrawn is now homogeneously Shiite, both on the Lebanese and on the Syrian sides of the border, and Hezbollah hands it over to the Lebanese army for mere policing (not fighting). Moreover, if Hezbollah is anticipating a major war with Israel, it will claim to have no presence in those areas, leaving the Lebanese army to confront a potential Israeli assault.
- Further implications are that Hezbollah knows it will have to divert its attention back to fighting Israel, as the Syrian revolution was essentially a distraction from this essential objective assigned to it by the Islamic theocracy in Tehran.
- Therefore, as he is the paramount ally of Hezbollah and Iran, Lebanese president Michel Aoun would b a persona non grata at the Trump-Saudi summit. If he were to attend these meetings, Aoun would become privy to information he may pass on to Hezbollah and Iran.
- Taken altogether, these elements point to a waning of the war of Syria, and a resumption of hostilities along the Lebanese-Israeli border. Israel continues to seethe at its incompetence at defeating Hezbollah in 2006, and the ongoing redrawing of Syria's borders is a golden opportunity for Israel to cement its takeover of the Golan, grab more land if possible in both Lebanon and Syria, and strike a deadly blow to Hezbollah. In essence, the Trump-Israeli plan right now is to eliminate the threat to Israel first, and to the Sunni Arabs second, posed by Iran and its tentacles like Hezbollah, the Houthis and others. This time, a war in the Lebanese South will likely be hugely more hellish than 2006, and Israel would probably seize the opportunity to eliminate any Shiite presence in Lebanon and Syria along its borders.
- There are some who argue that Aoun has finally made peace with the Americans after decades of mutual hostility, and that he is now coordinating secretly with the Americans. His rapprochement with the Sunnis (via Saad Hariri) allowed him to be elected president after years of stalemate, and his "uninvite" to the Sunni-American summit is in coordination with the Saudis and the Americans.

We are witnessing a reshuffling of the post World War I order in the Near East. The emergence of a Kurdish State in northern Syria adjoining the Kurdish State in northern Iraq would repair the harm done to the Kurdish people in 1920, the creation of an Alawite State along the Syrian Mediterranean coast would in fact bring to fruition the French plan to actually establish such a state back in 1920, the Druse of Syria, Lebanon  and Israel would see their own state created as a buffer shielding Israel from any Shiites further north, and Lebanon would rediscover what the Maronite Church had always wanted Greater Lebanon to be: A Christian homeland. The remainder of Syria, essentially the desert areas inhabited by the Sunni Arabs would in due time merge with Jordan or the Sunni middle of Iraq.

So, from North to South:
- Kurdish State - Kurdistan
- Alawite State - "useful" Syria
- Christian State - Lebanon
- Druse State - Drusistan
- Jewish State - Israel

with the hinterland belonging to the Sunni Arabs. Back in the 1920s, when the borders of the Near East were drawn up, the West greatly favored the Arab nationalists and granted them lands that were never theirs, crushing in the process many minorities living in this northern periphery of the Arabian peninsula. Now that those nationalists have regressed back to Muslim fundamentalists, the West wants to re-institute these minorities as nation-state buffers between Europe and the Arab Sunni hinterland.
This is perhaps not a plan that should be leaked to Michel Aoun, unless he is in collusion with it.



[From Breitbart News]

RIYADH (AFP) – King Abdullah II of Jordan, Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika and Niger’s Mahamadou Issoufou are among leaders invited by Saudi King Salman for a summit with US President Donald Trump.

The Arab-Islamic-American Summit will be among a series of talks expected to be held in Riyadh on May 20-21, Saudi officials said.
Trump has frequently been accused of fuelling Islamophobia but aides described his decision to visit Saudi Arabia as an effort to reset relations with the Muslim world.
There will also be a separate meeting between monarchs of the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council and Trump, as well as bilateral talks between the Saudi and US leaders, Riyadh’s Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir has said.
In addition to heads of state from Jordan, Algeria and Niger, the official Saudi Press Agency reported that Salman asked Yemeni President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi and Morocco’s King Mohammed VI to attend.
The leaders of Turkey, Pakistan, Iraq and Tunisia have also received invitations, the Arab News daily reported on Wednesday.
Saudi Arabia — which is home to Islam’s holiest sites — will be Trump’s first foreign stop since becoming president in January.
“It is a clear message to the world that the United States and the Arab and Islamic countries can form a partnership,” Jubeir said in Washington, according to SPA.
“We believe that it will strengthen cooperation between the United States and Arab and Islamic countries in the fight against terrorism and extremism, and the visit will have enormous benefits for the region and the world.”
The Saudis have found a more favourable ear in Washington under Trump, who has echoed their concerns about Iran’s influence in the region.

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