Nothing but the truth. Even if against me.

Nothing but the truth. Even if against me.



Friday, April 14, 2017

Trump's Clueless Warmongering Doctrine

Like all Republican administrations before him, Donald Trump is calling for wars overseas to mitigate his 30% approval ratings and resounding failures on the home front. Not only do wars rally the imbecilic patriotism of his deplorable dumb American base (whose ignorance of the world is as abysmal as the wasteland wilderness boonies of the American hinterland in which it dwells), but they stimulate the economy by dropping billion dollar bombs, triggering replacement orders placed by the military with the large corporations that feed the industrial-military complex and that are manned by Trump's CEO friends.

Now, as any observer may have noticed over the past few decades, no sooner have the bombs fallen, the heroism of the military lauded, and the wave of stupid patriotism passed, that this very same American dumb base tires quickly with the dead, the body bags, the bad reputation, the cost of the war (because even if Trumps' CEO buddies make their money, it doesn't trickle down to the pig farmers), the counter reactions, and the wave of stupid patriotism starts souring with "What is this war for? Did we have a strategy? Bring the boys home. Who are they dying for? We are not the world's policeman. We don't want the refugees whose displacement and misery we caused ourselves ...etc.." It's been done to death.

Ratcheting up wars and rattling the sabres all over the globe, because of the ego of the White Outhouse occupant who thinks that pouting his lips makes him look like a great man of history, is no sure recipe for solving the world's problems. Why, pray tell, is solving North Korea's 60-year old problem suddenly an urgent matter? Why doesn't the dumbass instead turn his attention to the calamity of what the Jewish European and American colonists have been doing for 70 years to the native Palestinians in the fake country of Israel and solve that problem for a change?

Trump is clueless. His "policies" generally originate from two foci: 1- Either his closet neo-Nazi advisors put some some thinking into some action and he goes along because "as a CEO with a high altitude view of his operations, he can't be bothered with details", or 2- He wakes up on the wrong side of his gold-laced gigantic bed with a yuuuge surge in dopamine levels in his vacuous cerebrum, and impulsively decrees some action that will ensure his greatness in the annals of history, a "doctrine" historian Max Boot says boils down to “the United States reserves the right to use force whenever the president is upset by something he sees on TV”.

Of course, in neither case does Trump actually analyze and think through the consequences of such momentous decisions (cowboy CEOs like him have no time or patience for analysis), and the world has to live with the disasters caused by dropping "the mother of all bombs" and the traditional zillions of mistakes that the mighty American military makes every time it goes to war in foreign countries. Americans go to war with the best of intentions, gigantic amounts of planning and expenditures, rigid systems that lack malleability and nimbleness, and a personnel that is by and large full of itself, proud of its dumbness, and deprecating of the rest of humanity... You know, such grandiose self-declared Manifest Destiny, Greatest Nation on Earth, Most Powerful Empire ever, etc...labels Americans repeat to the rest of the world, while losing every war it fought since WWII. Just as large banks are "too big to fail", large countries are "too rigid and stupid to succeed".

America must couple its technology, its gigantism, its vast capabilities with a bit of smartness about the rest of the world if it is to succeed. Largeness makes the organism a predator and sedates it into losing its alertness and adaptability. Smallness, on the other hand, makes the organism a vulnerable prey which must remain smart and alert. Given its size and slothfulness, the only way for America to increase its smartness about the rest of the world is to be more humble, more modest in thinking about itself versus the rest of the world. Because of its history, American culture lacks the universalism of other cultures. It is too inward looking. It rejects the past and the old world, and sees nothing beyond its own boundaries. American literature rarely transcends its own milieu to encompass the universal human condition; Americans always think that their experiences are unique to them; they rarely see themselves as partakers of the universal human experience. They never put themselves in other people's shoes, and so they never learn from other people. Whenever politics or markets engages them with other people, they often fail because of that psycho-social-cultural isolation in which they shut themselves. Donald Dumb's election was a violent reaction and return to that identity, after Obama had jolted the US out of it for a brief lull.

Saturday, April 8, 2017

Trump's Plan for the Middle East

Donald Dumb is too dumb on his own to lay down a coherent plan, but he is well surrounded, and the outlines of a Trump administration plan for the Middle East are beginning to take shape.

1. His about-face against Assad and an involvement in Syria is not a sudden change of mind. It was planned. Trump has repeatedly said that he never announces his next steps ahead. He does rely on the surprise effect.

2. Trump has repeatedly said that he wants to solve the Israeli-Palstinian conflict through an Arab coalition. His excessive gentility (Trump said that Sissi has done a "fantastic" job in Egypt) with the Egyptian dictator is not only driven by his instinctive love for other like-minded strongmen and dictators, it does reflect a burgeoning alliance between a corporate oleophilic US Trump administration (whose State Dept. Secretary is the CEO of Exxon) and the Sunni dinosaurs of the Arabian peninsula including Egypt, Saudi, the Emirates and others.

3. Since Trump rules by deal-making, as he often claims, the deal thus appear to be as follows:
I (US, Trump) will side with you (Sunnis) against Iran (Shiite), as soon as Daesh is defeated (which appears to be imminent), while you (Sunni Arabs) help convince the Palestinians to accept whatever peace deal Israel offers them. In other words, Trump will reverse the Obama administration's rapprochement with Iran, go back to kissing ass to the oil-rich Sunni Arabs of the Peninsula, but this time in exchange for their influence on securing a peace deal in Israel-Palestine.

To do that, Trump will be building a US-Sunni coalition that will, in due time, defeat Assad, crush Hezbollah (which will please the Israelis and the anti-Iranian Lebanese), allow the dismemberment of the Shiite-dominated Syria and Iraq, thus emancipating the Iraqi and Syrian Sunnis from Shiite domination, securing a budding future Kurdistan state, and generally freeing other minorities (Christians, Yazidis, Kurds, and others) from the grip of the fake states that WWI and Sykes-Picot created. This will also enable the US administration to begin reversing what it perceives as a permissive nuclear deal with Iran that lifted the sanctions on the latter and allowed it to resume its weapons-building program.

The effects on the Lebanese stage are likely to be huge: Aoun will be facing a serious problem with his support of Hezbollah, which is already showing cracks in the "understanding" signed in 2006, disagreements over the electoral law in Lebanon's future legislative elections, and the corruption with which Hezbollah has infected the State in Lebanon and which Aoun claims to want to fight, etc... Aoun is likely to be in secret cahoots with the US after his rapprochement with the pro-US Lebanese Forces Party, a rapprochement that has enabled him to accede to the Presidency. That would be consistent with a coordination with Walid Phares, the one-time Lebanese Forces member and currently a Lebanese-American hillbilly adviser to Trump, and who harbors a historic hatred of Hezbollah and Iran.

The evolving situation may also push Hezbollah, prodded by its impending defeat in Syria and by Iran, to nudge Israel into a new war in the south of Lebanon, after the stalemated war between the two sides in 2006.A new war this time will be hellishly bloody for Lebanon and the Aoun administration, because the current configuration of the latter is such that Hezbollah is in the government and the President of the country is openly pro-Hezbollah, which Israel has taken as a justification for targeting all Lebanese State institutions (including the army) which it has avoided in the 2006 war with Hezbollah. Not this time. This might in fact destabilize the dysfunctional and ungovernable Lemon Republic to the point of pushing the constituent parties of the Lemon Republic back to the drawing table and redrawing the entire country and State from the failed Greater Lebanon of the 1919 Paris Peace Conference.

Monday, April 3, 2017

أيها اللبناني: لا تشتري من عند السوري ولا تستخدم السوري

أيها اللبناني الذي يدّعي الوطنية ويفضل جيبه على وطنه.

تذكر ما فعله الجيش السوري بلبنان على مدى 30 عاماً ولا يزال يفعله، وتذكر ما فعله اللاجئ الفلسطيني أيضاً بلبنا .

استقبلنا اللاجئين السوريين، متناسيين الماضي ورحمةً بالأطفال وتحسساً منا لآلام الاقتلاع من الأرض والتشريد، فقد عشناها كلها.

ولكن حان الوقت ليبدأ الحساب، فالعد العكسي بدأ على عودة اللاجئين السوريين إلى ديارهم.

إلى اللبنانيين الذين يستخدمون عمالاً وموظفين سوريين: لقد طمع السوري وبدأ يطالب بمعاشات وأجور مماثلة لمعاشات وأجور اللبنانيين.

الوطنية تكون بالفعل وليس بالشعارات والكلام الفارغ والخبيث واللافتات على الطرقات والتضرع إلى الله...

الوطنية هي بالفعل وبتخفيض مستوى الجشع والتكالب على المال. 

الوطنية هي بالتضحية ببعضاً من أرباحك الطامعة والجشعة لكي تساعد أخاك اللبناني الذي من دون عمل. حتى ولو يكلّفك العامل أو المقاول أو الموظف أو التاجر اللبناني أكثر بقليل من مرادفه السوري، إذهب إلى اللبناني ولا تذهب إلى السوري.

طفح الكيل من اللبنانيين الذين يدعون الوطنية وهم يطعنون وطنهم ومواطنيهم يومياً سعياً وراء المال  والأرباح.

السوري شقيقنا. السوري مشرد. وقد تدمر وطنه. ونحن قمنا بواجبنا تجاهه ما يكفي.

فمقاطعة العمالة السورية والمتاجر السورية ليست لمعاقبة السوري، إنما هي لتشجيعه على العودة طوعاً إلى بلاده. بدون حروب، بدون خلافات، بدون مذابح ومشاكل لا تحصى مررنا بها مع اللاجئ الفلسطيني. الآن وقت مناسب إذ أن الأزمة السورية بدأت تلوح معالم حلها على الأفق. فليبدأ اللاجئ السوري بالتحضير لعودته آمناً إلى دياره من دون أي ضغوط وانفعالات وقبل أن تفوت الأوان ونصبح على عتبة حروب أهلية بين اللبنانيين والسوريين

أعذر من أنذر.